Babelsberg 3-1 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 33%
+20% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.88/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.09
+10% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
01.11.2015 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-0 HT 0-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
29.11.2014 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babelsberg
3-1
AWAY FSV Zwickau
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg got the better of FSV Zwickau 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Babelsberg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Babelsberg had 48% of the ball to FSV Zwickau's 52%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Babelsberg and 1.00 for FSV Zwickau.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs FSV Zwickau?

Babelsberg 3-1 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 41%, draw 27%, FSV Zwickau 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babelsberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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