Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.9pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.25/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.80
-11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
2W-0D-1L
AWAY San Telmo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
23.09.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 3-2 HT 2-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
13.05.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 1-1 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
27.02.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 3-0 HT 2-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
1-1
AWAY San Telmo
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza and San Telmo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia Mendoza at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Gimnasia Mendoza had 48% of the ball to San Telmo's 52%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.33 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs San Telmo?

Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 45%, draw 35%, San Telmo 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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