SuperSport United 1-1 Cape Town City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.18
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.74
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cape Town City EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.50/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.12
-23% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
35.0 Crosses 20.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SuperSport United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cape Town City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
248 Passes 363
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 0-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
04.02.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-0 HT 1-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
03.01.2023 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-1 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
22.12.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 3-2 HT 2-0 Cape Town City Cape Town City GAFPSL
21.08.2021 Cape Town City Cape Town City 0-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
10.04.2021 Cape Town City Cape Town City 3-0 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SuperSport United
1-1
AWAY Cape Town City
1.62 xG 3.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
386 Passes 326
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 23
35 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SuperSport United vs Cape Town City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United and Cape Town City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SuperSport United had 52% of the ball to Cape Town City's 48%, shots finished 20-21, expected goals 1.62 to 3.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SuperSport United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SuperSport United and 0.83 for Cape Town City.

What was the final score of SuperSport United vs Cape Town City?

SuperSport United 1-1 Cape Town City in the South Afrika - Cup on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SuperSport United vs Cape Town City?

Before kick-off our model rated a SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SuperSport United 40%, draw 27%, Cape Town City 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SuperSport United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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