Bristol City U21 1-1 Millwall U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.63
Over 2.5
52%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.39
No
54%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+7.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
68%
-21.3pp
54%
BTTS No
32%
+21.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 45%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Millwall U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
27.11.2023 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 5-1 HT 4-1 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Bristol City U21 vs Millwall U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City U21 and Millwall U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bristol City U21 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Bristol City U21 vs Millwall U21?

Bristol City U21 1-1 Millwall U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City U21 vs Millwall U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bristol City U21 44%, draw 20%, Millwall U21 36%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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