20/02/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Naft Maysan vs Duhok Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
29%
Draw
33%
33%
Away Win
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft Maysan v Duhok — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naft Maysan
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Duhok
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
275 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
389 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Naft Maysan vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Duhok cruised past Naft Maysan 3-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Duhok found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Duhok?
Naft Maysan 0-3 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Duhok?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Maysan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 37%, draw 29%, Duhok 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft Maysan), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Naft Maysan)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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20 Feb 2024