Cliftonville 0-3 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Feb 2024

Cliftonville
0-3 HT 0-0
Linfield FC
📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2023/2024

Cliftonville vs Linfield FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.32
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
11%
12.95
X/1
16%
5.11
X/2
9%
6.05
X/X
9%
4.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.22
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cliftonville v Linfield FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.72/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.12
+22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3

Cliftonville vs Linfield FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
22.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
29.04.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
11.02.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
10.01.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
08.11.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL

Cliftonville 0-3 Linfield FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cliftonville
0-3
AWAY Linfield FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC swept aside Cliftonville 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cliftonville at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cliftonville had 51% of the ball to Linfield FC's 49%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cliftonville and 1.00 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Linfield FC?

Cliftonville 0-3 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 41%, draw 28%, Linfield FC 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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