Folgore 1-1 Libertas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — San Marino - Şampiyona, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Folgore The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertas The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Folgore vs Libertas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Folgore and Libertas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Folgore at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Folgore vs Libertas?

Folgore 1-1 Libertas in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Folgore vs Libertas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Folgore win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Folgore 43%, draw 22%, Libertas 36%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Folgore) ✗ BTTS No
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