Arabi 0-1 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa EU Bookmakers 21%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.82/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.67
+6% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
402 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Safa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2023 Al Safa Al Safa 0-3 HT 0-0 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
0-1
AWAY Al Safa
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Safa squeezed past Arabi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arabi had 62% of the ball to Al Safa's 38%, shots finished 17-6.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Safa?

Arabi 0-1 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arabi 48%, draw 24%, Al Safa 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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