Audace Cerignola 2-1 Casarano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Feb 2026

Audace Cerignola
2 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Casarano
📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Audace Cerignola vs Casarano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
21%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.83
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.98
2-3
46%
1.71
4-5
21%
3.5
6+
5%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Audace Cerignola v Casarano — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Audace Cerignola The Market 55%
Signal
AWAY Casarano The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.51 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
0.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.71
Strong Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Bad
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Audace Cerignola vs Casarano Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Casarano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2025 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-1 HT 2-0 Casarano Casarano İTCK
12.10.2025 Casarano Casarano 3-0 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
06.10.2021 Casarano Casarano 2-0 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTD

Audace Cerignola 2-1 Casarano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
2 - 1
AWAY Casarano
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Audace Cerignola shaded a tight game against Casarano 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 51%.

By the numbers, Audace Cerignola had 52% of the ball to Casarano's 48%, shots finished 18-14.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Casarano led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Audace Cerignola and 2.00 for Casarano.

Audace Cerignola vs Casarano Result & Final Score

Audace Cerignola 2 - 1 Casarano in the Italy - Serie C on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Audace Cerignola vs Casarano Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 53%, draw 26%, Casarano 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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