Northcote City 4-1 Western United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.61
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
58%
+3.3pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.0pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.9pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northcote City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United II EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northcote City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Western United II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
20.06.2025 Northcote City Northcote City 1-2 HT 0-0 Western United II Western United II NPL2
16.03.2025 Western United II Western United II 3-0 Northcote City Northcote City NPL2
POST-MATCH Northcote City vs Western United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northcote City swept aside Western United II 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Northcote City as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Western United II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Northcote City and 2.50 for Western United II.

What was the final score of Northcote City vs Western United II?

Northcote City 4-1 Western United II in the AVPL1 on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northcote City vs Western United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Northcote City 61%, draw 18%, Western United II 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northcote City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northcote City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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