20/03/2024
·
22:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Pully Football vs Monthey Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
26%
21%
Draw
27%
40%
Away Win
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pully Football v Monthey — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pully Football
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Monthey
The Market 51%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-60% /
-60%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-31%
/
-56%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
249 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
416 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pully Football vs Monthey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Monthey nicked a narrow win over Pully Football 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 40% — and on the day Monthey made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Pully Football vs Monthey?
Pully Football 0-1 Monthey in the Switzerland - 1st Division Classic on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pully Football vs Monthey?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pully Football win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pully Football 40%, draw 21%, Monthey 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/21/40)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İSV1C
More Switzerland - 1st Division Classic
20 Mar 2024