Valur 1-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.94
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.1pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.2pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.1pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
3.28/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/3.57
+18% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / -34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
430 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
5W-0D-1L
AWAY İA Akranes
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZLK
08.08.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
11.05.2022 Valur Valur 4-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.07.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
30.04.2021 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.09.2020 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-4 HT 0-3 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
1-1
AWAY İA Akranes
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valur vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur and İA Akranes shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Valur carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Valur had 53% of the ball to İA Akranes's 47%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Valur and 0.83 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Valur vs İA Akranes?

Valur 1-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - League Cup on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Valur 60%, draw 20%, İA Akranes 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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