Sporting De Cabinda 1-1 Academica Do Lobito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Angola - Girebola, 20 Mar 2024

Sporting De Cabinda
1-1
Academica Do Lobito
📅20/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Angola - Girebola – 2023/2024

Sporting De Cabinda vs Academica Do Lobito Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No Pick
64%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
44%
4-5
13%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting De Cabinda v Academica Do Lobito — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting De Cabinda The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica Do Lobito The Market 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.22
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sporting De Cabinda vs Academica Do Lobito Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting De Cabinda
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Academica Do Lobito
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
20.11.2021 Academica Do Lobito Academica Do Lobito 3-0 Sporting De Cabinda Sporting De Cabinda ANG
POST-MATCH Sporting De Cabinda vs Academica Do Lobito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting De Cabinda and Academica Do Lobito shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Sporting De Cabinda vs Academica Do Lobito?

Sporting De Cabinda 1-1 Academica Do Lobito in the Angola - Girebola on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting De Cabinda vs Academica Do Lobito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting De Cabinda win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting De Cabinda 39%, draw 31%, Academica Do Lobito 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting De Cabinda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting De Cabinda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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