Argentinos Juniors 3-0 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Mar 2024

📅20/03/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.13
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
12%
3.95
X/2
10%
7.73
X/X
11%
3.93
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
8%
6.73
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.2pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.41/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.34
+25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.4 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rosario Central
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.53
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 Passes 227
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 2-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
28.01.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
09.09.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-1 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
03.10.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
16.02.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-1 HT 2-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
07.03.2020 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
3-0
AWAY Rosario Central
3.13 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
286 Passes 272
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors swept aside Rosario Central 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 49% of the ball to Rosario Central's 51%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 3.13 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 1.33 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central?

Argentinos Juniors 3-0 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 52%, draw 26%, Rosario Central 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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