20/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Nations vs Dreams Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
33%
Draw
32%
27%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nations v Dreams — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nations
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dreams
EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-17% /
-17%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-45%
/
+19%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
284 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
Nations vs Dreams Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Nations
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Dreams
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
The Meetings
20.09.2023
Dreams
1-0
HT 1-0
Nations
GANA
1-0
HT 1-0
Nations
GANA
POST-MATCH
Nations vs Dreams
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nations nicked a narrow win over Dreams 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Nations found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Nations vs Dreams?
Nations 1-0 Dreams in the Gana - Premier League on 20/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nations vs Dreams?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nations win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nations 40%, draw 33%, Dreams 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nations), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Nations)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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