Accra Lions 0-0 Karela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 20 Mar 2025

📅20/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.52
Over
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.1pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karela EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.06/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.18
-14% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accra Lions
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Karela
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2022 Accra Lions 1-0 HT 0-0 Karela GANA
12.12.2021 Karela 3-0 HT 2-0 Accra Lions GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accra Lions
0-0
AWAY Karela
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Accra Lions vs Karela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accra Lions and Karela fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Accra Lions at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Accra Lions had 53% of the ball to Karela's 47%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Accra Lions and 1.50 for Karela.

What was the final score of Accra Lions vs Karela?

Accra Lions 0-0 Karela in the Gana - Premier League on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accra Lions vs Karela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accra Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Accra Lions 44%, draw 27%, Karela 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Accra Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Accra Lions) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →