Türkiye U20 0-3 İtalya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — U20 Elit League, 20 Mar 2025

Türkiye U20
0-3
İtalya U20
📅20/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
U20 Elit League – 2024/2025

Türkiye U20 vs İtalya U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 31% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Türkiye U20 v İtalya U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye U20 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya U20 EU Bookmakers 49%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.52
-36% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
217 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Türkiye U20 0-3 İtalya U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye U20
0-3
AWAY İtalya U20
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Türkiye U20 vs İtalya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U20 cruised past Türkiye U20 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İtalya U20 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Türkiye U20 had 46% of the ball to İtalya U20's 54%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Türkiye U20 vs İtalya U20?

Türkiye U20 0-3 İtalya U20 in the U20 Elit League on 20/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye U20 vs İtalya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an İtalya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Türkiye U20 33%, draw 24%, İtalya U20 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U20), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İtalya U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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