Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
15%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.17
6+ Goals
7%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 33% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
51%
+11.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
15%
Away Win
23%
-7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.7pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 26%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.07/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.97
+47% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.8 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.04.2025 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 HT 1-1 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
2-1
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
2.39 xG 0.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
292 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guangxi Hengchen vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen edged past Shanghai Jiading 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guangxi Hengchen as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangxi Hengchen had 51% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 49%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.39 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guangxi Hengchen's control.

What was the final score of Guangxi Hengchen vs Shanghai Jiading?

Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Hengchen vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Hengchen 62%, draw 22%, Shanghai Jiading 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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