Ho Chi Minh 1-0 Binh Phuoc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - Cup, 20 Mar 2026

📅20/03/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Phuoc EU Bookmakers 28%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.00
-25% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ho Chi Minh
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Binh Phuoc
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.10.2024 Binh Phuoc Binh Phuoc 1-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ho Chi Minh
1-0
AWAY Binh Phuoc
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Phuoc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ho Chi Minh edged past Binh Phuoc 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ho Chi Minh as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Ho Chi Minh had 56% of the ball to Binh Phuoc's 44%, shots finished 23-4.

What was the final score of Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Phuoc?

Ho Chi Minh 1-0 Binh Phuoc in the Vietnam - Cup on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Phuoc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ho Chi Minh win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ho Chi Minh 51%, draw 29%, Binh Phuoc 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ho Chi Minh), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ho Chi Minh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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