Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Jiangxi Beidamen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.44
6+ Goals
10%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 32% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.5pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
1.96/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.37
+18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
Crosses 13.9
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
294 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 3-1 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
15.07.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 3-1 HT 2-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
18.08.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 HT 2-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
30.07.2022 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 3-1 HT 2-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
04.10.2021 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 1-2 HT 1-2 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
16.09.2021 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-1 HT 0-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Jiangxi Beidamen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang squeezed past Jiangxi Beidamen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.50 for Jiangxi Beidamen.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Jiangxi Beidamen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 54%, draw 27%, Jiangxi Beidamen 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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