Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartans EU Bookmakers 37%
-21% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.82/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.08
-39% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
303 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Spartans
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.03.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
24.02.2024 Spartans Spartans 2-1 HT 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
30.09.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-2 HT 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans nicked a narrow win over Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Spartans made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Spartans led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 2.00 for Spartans.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Spartans?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 37%, draw 27%, Spartans 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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