Longford Town 1-4 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
59%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.81
No
65%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+11.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
59%
Away Win
75%
-15.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.0pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 78%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.73/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.88
+5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
172 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 481 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Cork City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
02.09.2022 Cork City Cork City 2-2 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
18.06.2022 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İR1
29.04.2022 Cork City Cork City 4-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
05.03.2022 Longford Town Longford Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
11.08.2020 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRK
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City swept aside Longford Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Longford Town and 1.67 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Cork City?

Longford Town 1-4 Cork City in the Ireland - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 18%, draw 22%, Cork City 59%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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