Algeciras 2-3 Antequera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.32
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Antequera EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.26/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.53
+1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +110%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Antequera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 13
6 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Antequera Antequera 0-1 HT 0-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
2-3
AWAY Antequera
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Antequera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antequera edged past Algeciras 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Antequera found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Algeciras had 46% of the ball to Antequera's 54%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Antequera?

Algeciras 2-3 Antequera in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Antequera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 36%, draw 28%, Antequera 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
20 Apr 2024
17:00 Real Sociedad II vs Fuenlabrada Analysis →
18:00 Sabadell vs Cornella Analysis →
19:00 Teruel vs Sestao River Analysis →
20:00 Deportivo La Coruna vs Cultural Leonesa Analysis →
21:00 Atletico Sanluqueno vs Recreativo Huelva Analysis →
21:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs Tarazona Analysis →