Vaduz 3-1 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 20 Apr 2024

Vaduz
3-1 HT 1-1
Wil 1900
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Vaduz vs Wil 1900 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 28% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.3pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vaduz v Wil 1900 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.48/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.42
+4% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
13.3 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Vaduz vs Wil 1900 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Wil 1900
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.12 xG 1.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 310
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-0 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
24.11.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
30.07.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 3-2 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
20.05.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-0 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
27.01.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
23.10.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2

Vaduz 3-1 Wil 1900 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
3-1
AWAY Wil 1900
1.05 xG 1.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
436 Passes 331
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz got the better of Wil 1900 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vaduz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vaduz had 55% of the ball to Wil 1900's 45%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.05 to 1.65 — on chances, Wil 1900 could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wil 1900 led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vaduz and 1.67 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Wil 1900?

Vaduz 3-1 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 37%, draw 27%, Wil 1900 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vaduz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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