Genoa U19 3-2 Fiorentina U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.7pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U19 EU Bookmakers 48%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.48/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.49
-65% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa U19
3-2
AWAY Fiorentina U19
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Genoa U19 vs Fiorentina U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U19 squeezed past Fiorentina U19 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Genoa U19 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Genoa U19 had 34% of the ball to Fiorentina U19's 66%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Genoa U19 vs Fiorentina U19?

Genoa U19 3-2 Fiorentina U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U19 vs Fiorentina U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Genoa U19 34%, draw 31%, Fiorentina U19 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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