HK Kopavogur 0-2 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
42%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.5pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.5pp
42%
Away Win
57%
-14.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 61%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
0.92/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.99
-13% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
15.4 Crosses 22.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.79 xG 2.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
259 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-2 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
28.05.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 4-3 HT 2-2 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
04.08.2021 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-4 HT 2-3 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
17.05.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-3 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
22.08.2020 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 4-0 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
14.06.2020 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-3 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
0-2
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
0.50 xG 1.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
208 Passes 307
62% Pass Accuracy 73%
8 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur beat HK Kopavogur 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FH Hafnarfjordur as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 44% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 56%, shots finished 4-17, expected goals 0.50 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HK Kopavogur and 3.00 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

HK Kopavogur 0-2 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated an FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 29%, draw 29%, FH Hafnarfjordur 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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