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Madrid CFF (K) vs A. Bilbao (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madrid CFF (K) v A. Bilbao (K) — Team-Based Signals
Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 A. Bilbao (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Madrid CFF (K) squeezed past A. Bilbao (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Madrid CFF (K) made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 48% of the ball to A. Bilbao (K)'s 52%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.73 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Madrid CFF (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?
Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 A. Bilbao (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, A. Bilbao (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.