Cobresal 2-2 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.50/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.35
+32% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.8 Crosses 15.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nublense
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.68 xG 2.09
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 384
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-2 HT 1-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
19.02.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
23.07.2022 Nublense Nublense 3-2 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
27.02.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
06.09.2021 Cobresal Cobresal 4-1 HT 2-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
12.04.2021 Nublense Nublense 3-1 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
2-2
AWAY Nublense
1.31 xG 1.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
403 Passes 238
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal and Nublense shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cobresal at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cobresal had 60% of the ball to Nublense's 40%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 1.31 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cobresal and 1.67 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs Nublense?

Cobresal 2-2 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 41%, draw 25%, Nublense 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cobresal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cobresal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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