Barcelona (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 20 Apr 2024

Barcelona (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Chelsea (K)
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Champions League - Women's – 2023/2024

Barcelona (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
76%
-10.9pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.0pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
3.28/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.12
+32% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
441 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 68%
50.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
26.5 Crosses 8.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Barcelona (K) vs Chelsea (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.54 xG 0.84
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
418 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2023 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) ŞMP-K
22.04.2023 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) ŞMP-K
16.05.2021 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 0-4 HT 0-4 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) ŞMP-K

Barcelona (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
0-1
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.91 xG 0.53
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
501 Passes 227
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) edged past Barcelona (K) 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Barcelona (K) carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 66% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 34%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.91 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barcelona (K) and 0.33 for Chelsea (K).

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Barcelona (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 65%, draw 18%, Chelsea (K) 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
20 Apr 2024
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