Eintracht Frankfurt (K) 4-1 Nürnberg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
31%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
77%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.2pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.9pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.22/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.74
-30% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
23.4 Crosses 6.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt (K)
4-1
AWAY Nürnberg (K)
3.07 xG 0.59
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
387 Passes 168
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
49 Box Touches 8
34 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt (K) vs Nürnberg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt (K) swept aside Nürnberg (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt (K) had 66% of the ball to Nürnberg (K)'s 34%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 3.07 to 0.59.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Eintracht Frankfurt (K) 4-1 Nürnberg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt (K) 66%, draw 23%, Nürnberg (K) 12%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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