Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

Argentinos Juniors
1-1 HT 0-1
Defensa y Justicia
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Argentinos Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.9
X/2
19%
6.03
X/X
11%
3.94
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
9%
4.59
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Argentinos Juniors v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.37/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.37
+17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
23.3 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Argentinos Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
336 Passes 242
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.06.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-1 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
16.09.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
06.07.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJK
15.03.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
09.10.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-2 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
05.11.2019 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ

Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1-1
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.71 xG 0.57
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 3
416 Passes 165
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
35 Box Touches 7
45 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors and Defensa y Justicia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 67% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 33%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 1.71 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 1.17 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia?

Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 37%, draw 28%, Defensa y Justicia 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Argentinos Juniors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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