O Connor Knights 2-1 Tuggeranong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL Başkent, 20 Apr 2024

O Connor Knights
2-1
Tuggeranong United
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Australia - NPL Başkent – 2024

O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.11
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
-18.4pp
22%
Draw
8%
+13.8pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

O Connor Knights v Tuggeranong United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
7.46/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.02
+99% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
477 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Connor Knights
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Tuggeranong United
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-2 HT 0-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
10.06.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
22.04.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 5-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Connor Knights squeezed past Tuggeranong United 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had O Connor Knights as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for O Connor Knights and 0.33 for Tuggeranong United.

What was the final score of O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?

O Connor Knights 2-1 Tuggeranong United in the Australia - NPL Başkent on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Connor Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split O Connor Knights 67%, draw 22%, Tuggeranong United 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (O Connor Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (O Connor Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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