Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2024

Wolfsberger AC
1-1 HT 1-1
Austria Lustenau
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Lustenau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.26
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
18%
3.74
X/2
8%
9.22
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
10%
7.89
2/X
6%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsberger AC v Austria Lustenau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +33%
1.99/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.40
+12% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +75%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.5 Crosses 13.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Lustenau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.90 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
382 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-3 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
12.08.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
05.06.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
13.05.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-2 HT 2-2 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
15.04.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-3 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
12.03.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU

Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Austria Lustenau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
1-1
AWAY Austria Lustenau
0.64 xG 1.55
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
393 Passes 172
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
19 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC and Austria Lustenau shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsberger AC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 63% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 37%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.64 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.50 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Lustenau?

Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 50%, draw 25%, Austria Lustenau 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wolfsberger AC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024
18:00 Austria Wien vs Swarovski Tirol Analysis →
18:00 Rheindorf Altach vs Blau-Weiss Linz Analysis →