FK Sarajevo 1-1 Borac Banja Luka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.0pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.2pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
0.71/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.85
-45% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Borac Banja Luka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.03.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-3 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSK
28.02.2024 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
05.11.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
18.10.2023 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
07.05.2023 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
08.10.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
1-1
AWAY Borac Banja Luka
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo and Borac Banja Luka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 44% of the ball to Borac Banja Luka's 56%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borac Banja Luka led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Sarajevo and 1.00 for Borac Banja Luka.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka?

FK Sarajevo 1-1 Borac Banja Luka in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borac Banja Luka win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 31%, draw 33%, Borac Banja Luka 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
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