Atletico Ottawa 1-1 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

Atletico Ottawa
1-1 HT 0-0
Cavalry
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
12%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Ottawa v Cavalry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.36/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.22
-11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
15.0 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cavalry
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.95 xG 1.32
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
204 Passes 429
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
30.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
13.07.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
22.05.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
25.09.2022 Cavalry Cavalry 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
22.08.2022 Cavalry Cavalry 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL

Atletico Ottawa 1-1 Cavalry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1-1
AWAY Cavalry
0.50 xG 1.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
285 Passes 460
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa and Cavalry couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 40% of the ball to Cavalry's 60%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.50 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 0.83 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Atletico Ottawa 1-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 27%, draw 30%, Cavalry 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cavalry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Under 2.5
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