Paradou 1-0 El Bayadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.97
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 37% vs market 35.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradou EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.41/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.29
-2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradou
1W-1D-2L
AWAY El Bayadh
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2023 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
31.05.2023 Paradou Paradou 0-1 HT 0-1 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
21.10.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
13.02.2020 Paradou Paradou 5-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradou
1-0
AWAY El Bayadh
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paradou vs El Bayadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradou edged past El Bayadh 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paradou as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paradou had 48% of the ball to El Bayadh's 52%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, El Bayadh led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Paradou and 0.50 for El Bayadh.

What was the final score of Paradou vs El Bayadh?

Paradou 1-0 El Bayadh in the Algeria - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradou vs El Bayadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradou win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paradou 48%, draw 26%, El Bayadh 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paradou), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paradou) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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