Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.33
Over 2.5
30%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.51
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
72%
-1.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
28%
+1.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.6pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Atlas Khenifra EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.77/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.77
-24% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
21.10.2023 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 0-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
06.01.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Atlas Khenifra FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chabab Ben Guerir
1-1
AWAY Chabab Atlas Khenifra
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chabab Ben Guerir vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chabab Ben Guerir and Chabab Atlas Khenifra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Chabab Ben Guerir had 62% of the ball to Chabab Atlas Khenifra's 38%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chabab Ben Guerir had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chabab Ben Guerir and 0.00 for Chabab Atlas Khenifra.

What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra?

Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Ben Guerir win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 39%, draw 31%, Chabab Atlas Khenifra 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chabab Ben Guerir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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