Busan Transportation 2-3 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.0pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.84/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.36
-22% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gimhae City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.08.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-2 HT 1-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
22.04.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
09.07.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
27.03.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
26.09.2021 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
21.05.2021 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-1 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City squeezed past Busan Transportation 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimhae City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Busan Transportation and 1.00 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Gimhae City?

Busan Transportation 2-3 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K3 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 25%, draw 30%, Gimhae City 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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