FC Seoul 2-3 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.69
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.44
X/2
16%
5.64
X/X
12%
4.34
2/1
13%
29.5
2/2
12%
3.88
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.34/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.15
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +66%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.2 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.14 xG 1.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
414 Passes 257
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
6 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-2 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
08.07.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
05.05.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 0-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
30.10.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
27.10.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 2-2 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
07.09.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
2-3
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
380 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors nicked a narrow win over FC Seoul 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Jeonbuk Motors found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 48% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 52%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Seoul and 1.67 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Jeonbuk Motors?

FC Seoul 2-3 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 40%, draw 25%, Jeonbuk Motors 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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