Bucheon 1995 1-3 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.13/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.63
+6% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
15.9 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.84 xG 0.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
301 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 0-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
30.07.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
13.05.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
22.08.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
26.06.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-2 HT 0-2 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
04.05.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 3-1 HT 2-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucheon 1995
1-3
AWAY Busan I Park
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park saw off Bucheon 1995 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Busan I Park found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bucheon 1995 had 53% of the ball to Busan I Park's 47%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 0.67 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Busan I Park?

Bucheon 1995 1-3 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 32%, draw 28%, Busan I Park 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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