PSV Eindhoven (K) 5-0 Heerenveen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
30%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.03
No
42%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
80%
-28.9pp
18%
Draw
13%
+5.3pp
30%
Away Win
7%
+23.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
45%
+12.5pp
42%
BTTS No
55%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.98/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.29
-19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
544 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
25.11.2023 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven (K)
5-0
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 0
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Heerenveen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven (K) ran out comfortable winners over Heerenveen (K) 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven (K) had 65% of the ball to Heerenveen (K)'s 35%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

PSV Eindhoven (K) 5-0 Heerenveen (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven (K) 51%, draw 18%, Heerenveen (K) 30%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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