Swansea City U21 3-1 Bristol City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 20 Apr 2024

Swansea City U21
3-1 HT 1-0
Bristol City U21
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Professional Development League – 2023/2024

Swansea City U21 vs Bristol City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.0pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City U21 v Bristol City U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.84/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
423 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Swansea City U21 vs Bristol City U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bristol City U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
21.11.2023 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 0-3 HT 0-1 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Swansea City U21 vs Bristol City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City U21 beat Bristol City U21 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swansea City U21 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Swansea City U21 vs Bristol City U21?

Swansea City U21 3-1 Bristol City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City U21 vs Bristol City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Swansea City U21 59%, draw 18%, Bristol City U21 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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