Atletico Bucaramanga 2-3 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 Apr 2024

Atletico Bucaramanga
2-3 HT 1-1
Boyaca Chico
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Atletico Bucaramanga vs Boyaca Chico Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Bucaramanga v Boyaca Chico — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.16/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.07
+22% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
16.1 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Atletico Bucaramanga vs Boyaca Chico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.07 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
255 Passes 300
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.10.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
01.05.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.01.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
03.11.2020 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
21.10.2018 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 HT 2-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
18.04.2018 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL

Atletico Bucaramanga 2-3 Boyaca Chico — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2-3
AWAY Boyaca Chico
1.76 xG 1.12
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
336 Passes 157
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
15 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boyaca Chico squeezed past Atletico Bucaramanga 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Bucaramanga at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 63% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 37%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.76 to 1.12 — on chances, Atletico Bucaramanga could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.50 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Boyaca Chico?

Atletico Bucaramanga 2-3 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 51%, draw 26%, Boyaca Chico 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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