Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 Wisla Pulawy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.8
6+ Goals
12%
16.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.8 — our 26% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.10/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.69
-32% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 6
07.10.2023 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 3-1 HT 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1-0
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Wisla Pulawy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz nicked a narrow win over Wisla Pulawy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olimpia Grudziadz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 61% of the ball to Wisla Pulawy's 39%, shots finished 12-2.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Wisla Pulawy?

Olimpia Grudziadz 1-0 Wisla Pulawy in the Poland - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Wisla Pulawy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 44%, draw 26%, Wisla Pulawy 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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