Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
0-0
HT 0-0
KAMAZ
RKBL
0-0
HT 0-0
KAMAZ
RUS1
4-2
HT 3-1
Chernomorets
HAZ
KAMAZ edged past Chernomorets 1-0 in the Russia - FNL on 20 Apr 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.
On the day, KAMAZ had 60% of the ball to Chernomorets's 40%, shots finished 11-5.
Across their last 3 meetings in our records, KAMAZ have the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KAMAZ and 0.67 for Chernomorets.
What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Chernomorets?
KAMAZ 1-0 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Chernomorets?
Before kick-off our model rated a KAMAZ win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 44%, draw 28%, Chernomorets 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KAMAZ), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.