Zemplin Michalovce 1-3 Skalica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Skalica EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.13/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.09
-16% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +76%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 70%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.1 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Skalica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 282
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
09.12.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-1 HT 1-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
02.09.2023 Skalica Skalica 2-1 HT 0-1 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
29.04.2023 Skalica Skalica 3-2 HT 2-1 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
15.04.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-1 HT 1-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
05.11.2022 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
1-3
AWAY Skalica
0.62 xG 1.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
306 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zemplin Michalovce vs Skalica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skalica saw off Zemplin Michalovce 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zemplin Michalovce at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zemplin Michalovce had 51% of the ball to Skalica's 49%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.62 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skalica led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zemplin Michalovce and 1.17 for Skalica.

What was the final score of Zemplin Michalovce vs Skalica?

Zemplin Michalovce 1-3 Skalica in the Slovakia Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zemplin Michalovce vs Skalica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zemplin Michalovce win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zemplin Michalovce 46%, draw 27%, Skalica 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zemplin Michalovce) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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