Bilje 0-2 Nafta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 20 Apr 2024

Bilje
0-2 HT 0-0
Nafta
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
60%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
23%
-6.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
60%
Away Win
55%
+5.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bilje EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nafta EU Bookmakers 59%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.19/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.91
+7% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bilje
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Nafta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Nafta Nafta 3-1 HT 2-0 Bilje SLVN2
04.11.2022 Nafta Nafta 2-2 HT 2-2 Bilje SLVN2
25.03.2022 Nafta Nafta 4-1 HT 2-1 Bilje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bilje
0-2
AWAY Nafta
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bilje vs Nafta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta saw off Bilje 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bilje had 49% of the ball to Nafta's 51%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nafta led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bilje and 3.00 for Nafta.

What was the final score of Bilje vs Nafta?

Bilje 0-2 Nafta in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bilje vs Nafta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bilje 17%, draw 23%, Nafta 60%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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