Bandırmaspor 1-1 Tuzlaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.14
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
17%
3.92
X/2
13%
9.73
X/X
9%
5.28
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
12%
7.54
2/X
8%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+11.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuzlaspor EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.49/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.37
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
17.8 Crosses 10.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Tuzlaspor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.23 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
302 Passes 282
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Tuzlaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
21.01.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 4-1 HT 1-1 Tuzlaspor T1L
20.08.2022 Tuzlaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
20.03.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
23.10.2021 Tuzlaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
21.03.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 3-2 HT 1-2 Tuzlaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-1
AWAY Tuzlaspor
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
346 Passes 216
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Tuzlaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor and Tuzlaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 58% of the ball to Tuzlaspor's 42%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bandırmaspor and 0.83 for Tuzlaspor.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Tuzlaspor?

Bandırmaspor 1-1 Tuzlaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Tuzlaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 44%, draw 25%, Tuzlaspor 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ BTTS No
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