Young Africans 2-1 Simba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No Pick
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
37%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Africans The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Simba The Market 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Africans
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Simba
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.12.2021 Simba Simba 0-0 Young Africans Young Africans Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Young Africans vs Simba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Africans edged past Simba 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Young Africans as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Young Africans vs Simba?

Young Africans 2-1 Simba in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Africans vs Simba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Africans win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Young Africans 47%, draw 29%, Simba 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Africans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Young Africans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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