BUL 2-0 Express — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

BUL
2-0 HT 1-0
Express
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

BUL vs Express Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
55%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.3pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BUL v Express — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Express EU Bookmakers 22%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
3.96/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.80
+111% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +97%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

BUL vs Express Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Express
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
26.10.2021 BUL BUL 0-1 HT 0-0 Express Express UGA

BUL 2-0 Express — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
2-0
AWAY Express
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BUL vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL beat Express 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had BUL as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BUL had 46% of the ball to Express's 54%, shots finished 14-2.

What was the final score of BUL vs Express?

BUL 2-0 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Express?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split BUL 45%, draw 25%, Express 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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